One-third of all of Countrywide’s sub-prime mortgage loans are delinquent. Holy smoke! That’s a lot more than they led everyone to believe.
Countrywide on Tuesday reported a loss of $422 million in the fourth quarter and revealed that an astounding one-third of its investment portfolio’s sub-prime mortgage loans are delinquent.
The loss threw cold water on Countrywide chief operating officer Steve Sambol’s confident assurances to investors in October that, “We view the third quarter of 2007 as an earnings trough, and anticipate that the company will be profitable in the fourth quarter and in 2008.” Seen in this light, Countrywide’s fourth-quarter loss, compared to a $621 million profit a year ago, is what the numerous class action attorneys circling Countrywide (CFC, Fortune 500) will surely call “an unfavorable fact.” Countywide finished 2007 with a loss of $704 million.
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Countrywide’s eye-popping 33% delinquency rate on its sub-prime mortgage book also represents a decline from the third quarter, where “only” 29.6% of sub-prime paper was delinquent.
The figures obscure a central fact, however: Countrywide’s portfolio of sub-prime loans consist of those that were not previously written down, or could not be sold or securitized. In other words, this portfolio is likely to get much, much worse.
That percentage is bound to increase by huge margins over the course of the next few months. What on Earth would possess Bank Of America to absorb that kind of debt? Everyone knows those foreclosures will not sell anywhere near the value of the home. Are they looking for huge tax write-offs in the next few years? I just don’t get it.




